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International stocks

  • very risky in dollar terms due to exchange risk
  • move more with US stocks as capital markets become integrated
  • for most countries, the history is too short to evaluate the mean
  • sovereign risk
  • conceptual issue: International diversification implies corresponding flows in real goods and services

photo of Phil Dybvig
Phil Dybvig

Whatever the controversy about measuring the mean return in the US, it is much more difficult to obtain the mean return in relatively new markets or markets that have undergone big institutional changes recently.

In many markets, we are concerned with sovereign risk or country risk, the risk of loss of investment value due to failure of a government or nationalization of a firm. Relative stability in the world has made this concern somewhat less important than in the past, although it frequently happens that a country's economic problems are reflected in its equity markets, as during the Asia crisis.


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Copyright © Philip H. Dybvig 1997, 2000