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Security returns
The rate of return on a security is the natural
extension of the notion of an interest rate to securities with
randomness. The rate of return over some time period is the
change in value divided by the value at the start of the
period. For example, for a stock paying a dividend, the rate of
return is
In the last expression, the first term is the capital
gain (loss), and the second term is the income.
The rate of return is often stated in percent (also called
points), or in basis points (100 basis points = 1 percent). The
obvious adjustment is made for stock splits or other
distributions. (Useful term: the ex-dividend day is
the first day the stock trades without a claim to the
dividend.)
notation: -rate of
return -price -dividend -time
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Phil Dybvig
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Quantifying investment performance is the first step
in the scientific study of investments. The rate of
return is a measure of the performance of an
investment that is comparable for investments of
different scales. Returns also remain comparable in the
presence such events as cash dividends, share dividends,
coupons, splits, and rights offerings.
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You should be warned that returns are only as good as
the prices used to compute them. Returns are very
meaningful for common stock of large firms that are
traded more-or-less continuously, but are virtually
meaningless for private equity that may be priced
according to a formula because there are no market price
available. Having bad prices is eventually corrected over
time as distributions are made, but returns appear in the
wrong period, understating the correlation with other
assets. I have seen presentations by consultants in which
the diversification value of private equity is grossly
overstated for this reason.
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